Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.162482 0.185324 0.210761 0.241282 0.277033 0.317732 0.367783
2025-12-14 0.125892 0.155935 0.192760 0.241635 0.305427 0.386724 0.499558
2025-12-21 0.104212 0.136911 0.179867 0.241302 0.328345 0.449460 0.634691
2025-12-28 0.091531 0.126055 0.174020 0.246967 0.357690 0.523804 0.800467
2026-01-04 0.081529 0.116753 0.168033 0.250196 0.382538 0.594653 0.976020
2026-01-11 0.073773 0.109291 0.163157 0.253545 0.407116 0.668576 1.173396
2026-01-18 0.068185 0.104180 0.160851 0.260107 0.437414 0.757172 1.418823
2026-01-25 0.062457 0.098023 0.155881 0.261125 0.457747 0.831334 1.655390
2026-02-01 0.057395 0.092287 0.150759 0.260873 0.475314 0.903208 1.906397
2026-02-08 0.052668 0.086546 0.144859 0.258189 0.487468 0.966266 2.155302
2026-02-15 0.048468 0.081244 0.139066 0.254776 0.497374 1.026278 2.414419
2026-02-22 0.046084 0.078884 0.138274 0.260883 0.528011 1.138344 2.841160
2026-03-01 0.042545 0.074139 0.132633 0.256680 0.536121 1.201462 3.161888
2026-03-08 0.040017 0.071030 0.129789 0.257944 0.556975 1.300894 3.625991
2026-03-15 0.037589 0.067871 0.126490 0.257745 0.574369 1.395790 4.114316
2026-03-22 0.036044 0.066262 0.126100 0.263889 0.608362 1.543661 4.840723
2026-03-29 0.034376 0.064247 0.124646 0.267382 0.636333 1.682146 5.599195
2026-04-05 0.032861 0.062396 0.123330 0.270999 0.665376 1.831851 6.475182
2026-04-12 0.031752 0.061272 0.123446 0.278088 0.705367 2.027037 7.642322
2026-04-19 0.030257 0.059207 0.121277 0.279188 0.728703 2.175432 8.693444
2026-04-26 0.028782 0.057059 0.118706 0.278916 0.748061 2.316490 9.797818
2026-05-03 0.027243 0.054646 0.115300 0.276016 0.759009 2.431569 10.848699
2026-05-10 0.025774 0.052273 0.111767 0.272329 0.766922 2.538502 11.931183